Government scientists have warned that the third wave of COVID-19 is ‘highly likely’ after lockdown restrictions.

Many have been looking forward to the end of the national lockdown. However, scientists have now warned that easing restrictions could once again lead to another wave of cases and deaths.

The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) has warned that the easing of restrictions this summer could lead to a similar trend in cases that were seen in January. This would mean over six hundred people dying daily as well as over a thousand new cases per day by August.

Naturally, many are concerned about these kinds of figures being seen once again.

What has been said?

The assessment that was published yesterday noted that the easing of restrictions won’t immediately impact public health. Nonetheless, when the final restrictions are lifted on June 21 a new wave is expected to begin.

Experts at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine believe that this could “lead to a larger surge of cases and deaths comparable to that seen during the first wave.”

Professor Sir Mark Walport sat down with BBC Breakfast to outline the dangers. Walport also noted the situation in other countries in Europe:

“The vaccine rollout is going incredibly well… we’ve seen deaths fall fairly precipitously… all very good news, but we’ve only got to look across the Channel and see that France currently has over 39,000 new cases a day, so the virus is still very much around and if we take all the brakes off, then it’s quite clear that there is a very substantial risk of a further wave of infection.”

Next steps

There are still debates about how COVID should be managed once the lockdown is eased. Some have suggested a passport system. In fact, the Prime Minister Boris Johnson has seemed to support this idea.

The MailOnline reported Johnson saying:

“I think when it comes to trying to make sure that we give maximum confidence to business and to customers here in the UK, there are three things – there’s your immunity, whether you have had it before, so you have got natural antibodies, whether you have been vaccinated, and then of course whether you have had a test.”

“Those three things working together will be useful for us as we go forward.”

Some will see this as a way to mitigate the risks of a sharp increase in cases. With that said, more measures may need to be taken to prevent a significant jump in cases.

What this will be remains to be seen. Nonetheless, many will hope that a plan is established for the numbers of deaths and cases surge once again.

Are you worried about the easing of the lockdown?

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