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US Intel Leak Suggests Israel Can Be Pressured To Provide Lethal Arms To Ukraine

US intel leak suggests Israel can be pressured to provide lethal arms to Ukraine. A leaked Pentagon document indicates that the United States believes Israel can be persuaded into changing its stance on Ukraine and providing Kyiv with “lethal aid.”

Morgan Maverick
Apr 11, 20230 Shares189 Views
US intel leak suggests Israel can be pressured to provide lethal arms to Ukraine.A leaked Pentagon document indicates that the United States believes Israel can be persuaded into changing its stance on Ukraineand providing Kyiv with “lethal aid.”
The document, titled “Israel: Pathways to Providing Lethal Aid to Ukraine,” is one of several relating to Israel that were posted on social media sites.
The document reportedly assesses that the most “plausible” way for Israel to supply defensive and offensive military hardware to Ukraine would be to adopt the “Turkish model,” which involves selling missile defense systems through a third party while publicly calling for a peaceful resolution of the conflict and offering mediation services.
There are growing concerns about Russia’s increased military aid to Iran, which could lead to a shift in Israel’s stance towards Ukraine.

Factors That Could Influence Israel’s Decision

One major reason for Israel’s hesitance in providing weapons to Ukraine has been its strategic need to maintain freedom of operations in Syria, where Russian forces largely control the airspace. Additionally, Israel has a long-standing relationship with Russia, which includes cooperation on various defense projects.
However, the recent increase in Russian military aid to Iran and the resulting threat to Israel’s security could alter its stance towards Ukraine. The leaked Pentagon document also identified US pressure on Israel tied to halting Iran’s nuclear program as a potential factor that could lead to a shift in Israel’s position.

Top-secret military leaks raise national security concerns

The “Turkish Model” And Other Pathways For Israel

The “Turkish model” is one of the pathways that the Pentagon document identifies as a possible way for Israel to supply lethal aid to Ukraine. This would involve selling missile defense systems through a third party while publicly calling for a peaceful resolution of the conflict and offering mediation services.
According to the document, this approach would allow Israel to maintain a degree of deniability and limit the risk of Russian retaliation. However, it is unclear whether Israel would be willing to adopt this model.
Another pathway that the document identifies is for Israel to sell Ukraine advanced weapon systems, such as the Barak-8 missile defense system, which is jointly developed by Israel Aerospace Industries and India’s DRDO.
This would require a direct sale and would be a more confrontational approach that could trigger a stronger Russian response. It is also possible that Israel could provide covert support to Ukraine, including training and intelligence-sharing.

Conclusion

The leaked Pentagon document indicates that the US is exploring various ways to pressure or persuade Israel into providing lethal aid to Ukraine. While the “Turkish model” appears to be the most plausible pathway, it is unclear whether Israel would be willing to adopt it.
Factors such as Russia’s increased military aid to Iran and US pressure on Israel tied to halting Iran’s nuclear program could influence Israel’s decision. Ultimately, Israel’s strategic considerations and long-standing relationship with Russia will likely be the main factors that determine its stance towards Ukraine.
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